Illinois
W-L: (27-27) PR = 95.1483Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 4- 9 214 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 4- 2 215 A South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 10-11 217 A UIC MV ( 7-12, 92.6) 8- 3 221 H VCU A10 (10-10, 94.2) 2- 3 222 A Seton Hall BE (16-31, 90.5) 11- 4 222 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 14- 5 225 H Lindenwood OV ( 4- 4, 95.1) 13- 9 227 A Michigan State B10 (26-28, 95.0) 5- 4 228 H Charlotte AME (25-31, 94.1) 5- 0 301 A UAlbany AE ( 1-10, 90.0) 14- 6 306 H Portland WC (24-27, 93.3) 0-10 307 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 0- 4 308 A USC B10 (43-22, 97.5) 3- 5 310 H Western Illinois OV ( 0- 8, 87.4) 21- 8 313 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 2- 1 314 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 4- 2 314 H Minnesota B10 (31-21, 97.3) 0- 1 318 H Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 3- 4 320 H Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 13- 7 321 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 12-13 322 H Rutgers B10 (25-31, 93.9) 3- 8 324 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 1- 5 327 A Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 8- 9 328 A Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 16- 5 329 A Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 6- 0 331 A Illinois State MV ( 4-13, 90.9) 1- 4 403 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 1- 6 404 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 7- 5 405 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 5-10 407 H Indiana State MV ( 9-14, 92.3) 7- 3 410 A Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 13- 4 411 H New Orleans SL ( 6-10, 93.8) 4- 3 412 H New Orleans SL ( 6-10, 93.8) 7- 8 414 H SIU Edwardsville OV ( 3- 8, 91.4) 16- 4 417 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 6-16 418 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 16-13 419 H Oregon B10 (44-17, 97.1) 5-11 421 H Illinois State MV ( 4-13, 90.9) 6-13 424 H Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 10- 5 425 H Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 5-12 426 H Nebraska B10 (41-17, 97.0) 0- 3 501 A Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 3- 9 502 A Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 5- 6 503 A Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 6- 2 506 H Bradley MV ( 2- 6, 87.9) 10- 2 508 H Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 12- 0 509 H Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 4- 3 510 H Northwestern B10 (20-30, 92.5) 10- 3 514 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 95.8) 4- 2 515 H Maryland B10 (27-28, 94.8) 9-12 516 A Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 2-11 519 A Iowa B10 (34-21, 95.8) 6-10 520 A Purdue B10 (39-18, 96.3) 1- 3
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A South Florida 4- 9 -5 0 -- -4.89
214 A South Florida 4- 2 2 0 + 2.11
215 A South Florida 10-11 -1 0 -0.89
217 A UIC 8- 3 5 2 + 3.16
221 H VCU 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.60
222 A Seton Hall 11- 4 7 4 + 2.99
222 A Coastal Carolina 14- 5 9 -1 +++ 10.01
225 H Lindenwood 13- 9 4 1 + 3.31
227 A Michigan State 5- 4 1 -1 1.57
228 H Charlotte 5- 0 5 2 + 3.29
301 A UAlbany 14- 6 8 4 + 3.52
306 H Portland 0-10 -10 3 --- -12.56
307 A USC 0- 4 -4 -3 -0.98
308 A USC 3- 5 -2 -3 1.02
310 H Western Illinois 21- 8 13 8 ++ 4.61
313 H Minnesota 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.51
314 H Minnesota 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.51
318 H Campbell 3- 4 -1 0 -1.46
320 H Rutgers 13- 7 6 2 ++ 4.07
321 A Wake Forest 12-13 -1 -3 1.80
322 H Rutgers 3- 8 -5 2 --- -6.93
324 A Missouri 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.97
327 A Penn State 8- 9 -1 3 - -3.76
328 A Penn State 16- 5 11 3 +++ 8.24
329 A Penn State 6- 0 6 3 + 3.24
331 A Illinois State 1- 4 -3 4 --- -6.57
403 A Purdue 1- 6 -5 -2 - -3.13
404 A Purdue 7- 5 2 -2 + 3.87
405 A Purdue 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.13
407 H Indiana State 7- 3 4 4 0.49
410 A Arizona 13- 4 9 1 +++ 8.35
411 H New Orleans 4- 3 1 2 -0.99
412 H New Orleans 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.99
414 H SIU Edwardsville 16- 4 12 4 +++ 7.58
417 H Oregon 6-16 -10 -1 --- -8.70
418 H Oregon 16-13 3 -1 ++ 4.30
419 H Oregon 5-11 -6 -1 -- -4.70
421 H Illinois State 6-13 -7 5 --- -11.92
424 H Nebraska 10- 5 5 -1 +++ 6.22
425 H Nebraska 5-12 -7 -1 -- -5.78
426 H Nebraska 0- 3 -3 -1 -1.78
501 A Iowa 3- 9 -6 -1 -- -4.64
502 A Iowa 5- 6 -1 -1 0.36
503 A Iowa 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 5.36
506 H Bradley 10- 2 8 8 0.05
508 H Northwestern 12- 0 12 3 +++ 8.69
509 H Northwestern 4- 3 1 3 - -2.31
510 H Northwestern 10- 3 7 3 + 3.69
514 H Michigan 4- 2 2 0 + 2.01
515 H Maryland 9-12 -3 1 -- -4.04
516 A Indiana 2-11 -9 -1 --- -8.42
519 A Iowa 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.64
520 A Purdue 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.13
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Portland 0-10 -10 3 --- -12.56 322 H Rutgers 3- 8 -5 2 --- -6.93 331 A Illinois State 1- 4 -3 4 --- -6.57 417 H Oregon 6-16 -10 -1 --- -8.70 421 H Illinois State 6-13 -7 5 --- -11.92 516 A Indiana 2-11 -9 -1 --- -8.42 213 A South Florida 4- 9 -5 0 -- -4.89 419 H Oregon 5-11 -6 -1 -- -4.70 425 H Nebraska 5-12 -7 -1 -- -5.78 501 A Iowa 3- 9 -6 -1 -- -4.64 515 H Maryland 9-12 -3 1 -- -4.04 221 H VCU 2- 3 -1 2 - -2.60 324 A Missouri 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.97 327 A Penn State 8- 9 -1 3 - -3.76 403 A Purdue 1- 6 -5 -2 - -3.13 405 A Purdue 5-10 -5 -2 - -3.13 412 H New Orleans 7- 8 -1 2 - -2.99 509 H Northwestern 4- 3 1 3 - -2.31 519 A Iowa 6-10 -4 -1 - -2.64 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 A Coastal Carolina 14- 5 9 -1 +++ 10.01 328 A Penn State 16- 5 11 3 +++ 8.24 410 A Arizona 13- 4 9 1 +++ 8.35 414 H SIU Edwardsville 16- 4 12 4 +++ 7.58 424 H Nebraska 10- 5 5 -1 +++ 6.22 508 H Northwestern 12- 0 12 3 +++ 8.69 310 H Western Illinois 21- 8 13 8 ++ 4.61 320 H Rutgers 13- 7 6 2 ++ 4.07 418 H Oregon 16-13 3 -1 ++ 4.30 503 A Iowa 6- 2 4 -1 ++ 5.36 214 A South Florida 4- 2 2 0 + 2.11 217 A UIC 8- 3 5 2 + 3.16 222 A Seton Hall 11- 4 7 4 + 2.99 225 H Lindenwood 13- 9 4 1 + 3.31 228 H Charlotte 5- 0 5 2 + 3.29 301 A UAlbany 14- 6 8 4 + 3.52 313 H Minnesota 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.51 314 H Minnesota 4- 2 2 -2 + 3.51 329 A Penn State 6- 0 6 3 + 3.24 404 A Purdue 7- 5 2 -2 + 3.87 510 H Northwestern 10- 3 7 3 + 3.69 514 H Michigan 4- 2 2 0 + 2.01 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 4- 9 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.54 -1.24
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 4- 2 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.54 14.76
3 A South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 10-11 -5.32 13.11 0.68 0.54 -1.24
3 A UIC ( 7-12, 92.6) 8- 3 -7.27 11.16 0.68 0.54 12.67
3 H VCU (10-10, 94.2) 2- 3 -5.68 12.75 -0.68 0.54 -1.70
3 A Seton Hall (16-31, 90.5) 11- 4 -9.44 8.99 0.68 0.54 10.35
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 14- 5 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.54 15.73
3 H Lindenwood ( 4- 4, 95.1) 13- 9 -4.77 13.66 -0.68 0.54 13.90
3 A Michigan State (26-28, 95.0) 5- 4 -4.86 13.57 0.68 0.54 15.26
3 H Charlotte (25-31, 94.1) 5- 0 -5.79 12.64 -0.68 0.54 12.81
3 A UAlbany ( 1-10, 90.0) 14- 6 -9.91 8.52 0.68 0.54 9.85
3 H Portland (24-27, 93.3) 0-10 -6.63 11.79 -0.68 0.54 -1.96
3 A USC (43-22, 97.5) 0- 4 -2.41 16.02 0.68 0.54 -0.46
3 A USC (43-22, 97.5) 3- 5 -2.41 16.02 0.68 0.54 -0.46
3 H Western Illino ( 0- 8, 87.4) 21- 8 -12.47 5.96 -0.68 0.54 5.66
3 H Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 2- 1 -2.56 15.86 -0.68 0.54 16.27
3 H Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 4- 2 -2.56 15.86 -0.68 0.54 16.27
3 H Minnesota (31-21, 97.3) 0- 1 -2.56 15.86 -0.68 0.54 -0.87
3 H Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 3- 4 -4.54 13.89 -0.68 0.54 -1.40
3 H Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 13- 7 -6.01 12.42 -0.68 0.54 12.58
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 12-13 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.54 -0.52
3 H Rutgers (25-31, 93.9) 3- 8 -6.01 12.42 -0.68 0.54 -1.79
3 A Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 1- 5 -5.40 13.03 0.68 0.54 -1.26
3 A Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 8- 9 -8.19 10.24 0.68 0.54 -2.01
3 A Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 16- 5 -8.19 10.24 0.68 0.54 11.69
3 A Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 6- 0 -8.19 10.24 0.68 0.54 11.69
3 A Illinois State ( 4-13, 90.9) 1- 4 -9.00 9.43 0.68 0.54 -2.23
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 1- 6 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.54 -0.77
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 7- 5 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.54 16.65
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 5-10 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.54 -0.77
3 H Indiana State ( 9-14, 92.3) 7- 3 -7.59 10.84 -0.68 0.54 10.89
3 A Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 13- 4 -6.08 12.35 0.68 0.54 13.95
3 H New Orleans ( 6-10, 93.8) 4- 3 -6.07 12.36 -0.68 0.54 12.51
3 H New Orleans ( 6-10, 93.8) 7- 8 -6.07 12.36 -0.68 0.54 -1.81
3 H SIU Edwardsvil ( 3- 8, 91.4) 16- 4 -8.50 9.93 -0.68 0.54 9.91
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 6-16 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.54 -0.93
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 16-13 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.54 16.04
3 H Oregon (44-17, 97.1) 5-11 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.54 -0.93
3 H Illinois State ( 4-13, 90.9) 6-13 -9.00 9.43 -0.68 0.54 -2.59
3 H Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 10- 5 -2.86 15.57 -0.68 0.54 15.95
3 H Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 5-12 -2.86 15.57 -0.68 0.54 -0.95
3 H Nebraska (41-17, 97.0) 0- 3 -2.86 15.57 -0.68 0.54 -0.95
3 A Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 3- 9 -4.07 14.36 0.68 0.54 -0.91
3 A Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 5- 6 -4.07 14.36 0.68 0.54 -0.91
3 A Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 6- 2 -4.07 14.36 0.68 0.54 16.10
3 H Bradley ( 2- 6, 87.9) 10- 2 -12.03 6.40 -0.68 0.54 6.13
3 H Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 12- 0 -7.38 11.04 -0.68 0.54 11.10
3 H Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 4- 3 -7.38 11.04 -0.68 0.54 11.10
3 H Northwestern (20-30, 92.5) 10- 3 -7.38 11.04 -0.68 0.54 11.10
3 H Michigan (35-22, 95.8) 4- 2 -4.07 14.36 -0.68 0.54 14.66
3 H Maryland (27-28, 94.8) 9-12 -5.11 13.31 -0.68 0.54 -1.55
3 A Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 2-11 -4.84 13.58 0.68 0.54 -1.12
3 A Iowa (34-21, 95.8) 6-10 -4.07 14.36 0.68 0.54 -0.91
3 A Purdue (39-18, 96.3) 1- 3 -3.56 14.87 0.68 0.54 -0.77
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312.61
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winning pts = 345.6117 losing points = -32.9973
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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